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Bovine TB is still rife

Dear Editor

I have recently been reading newspaper articles and other material published by Pembrokeshire Against the Cull that talks about the Welsh Assembly “hiding” the fact that rates of bovine TB in Wales have fallen dramatically. This is not the case.

Statistics need to be treated with caution, and figures need to be analysed over time to observe a trend. In 2006, the number of infected cattle in Wales dropped slightly but by 2008, the cases of bovine TB in cattle had doubled from 6,000 to around 12,000.

It is frustrating to see campaigners misusing statistics for their own ends because this is still early days in the fight against bovine TB and infection is still rife in our countryside. I wish it was true to say that we have turned a corner in this TB epidemic, but this is not yet the situation nor the experience of farmers in many parts of Wales, including the pilot area.

In the Intensive Action Pilot Area since January 1st, 2003, 213 of the 324 herds in the area have suffered a TB incident on at least one occasion.

Seventy-nine have been ‘one-off’ incidents with the remaining 142 herds suffering 342 breakdowns between them with 57 of these herds experiencing three or more breakdowns over the period.

In 2003 the average period of time for a herd to remain ‘clean’ from TB before re-infection was identified was 874 days. For 2009 it was only 209 days.

There have been a number of processing errors in the DEFRA statistics, which have included the under-reporting of animals slaughtered in 2009 and the numbers of herds under restriction for February 2010 that we are waiting for them to correct.

It is likely the constant cycle of infection and re-infection is occurring through a combination of factors including cattle to cattle spread and through contact between cattle and infected badgers.

We have introduced measures to limit the risk of infected cattle moving into the area and spreading disease, and we are testing cattle more often in the pilot area, But we also need to break the cycle of infection between cattle and badgers or we won’t see an end to the constant nightmare of infection and re-infection.

Later this summer we will be publishing a report on the outcome of TB Health Check Wales, commissioned at the beginning of the TB Eradication Programme to give us a more accurate picture of the disease in Wales.

It confirmed what we expected, that TB was continuing to spread in Wales.

If you would like to see the statistical information about the pilot area, you can visit www.wales.gov.uk/bovinetb

Dr Christianne Glossop
Chief veterinary officer for Wales, Welsh Assembly.

Comments(1)

Spectrum says...
4:15pm Tue 6 Jul 10

As ever Christianne Glossop mixes fact with supposition in an attempt to make her case. Cattle-to-cattle transmission is a scientific fact; badger to cattle transmission is a presumption, not yet proved by science, but broadly accepted as taking place, but at a much lower level than the Welsh Assembly would have us believe. However, belatedly in the courts they have had to admit that benefits from proactive (or wholesale) slaughter are relatively short-term and marginal. The same rigorous science that proves that to be the case also demonstrates that it will take some 11 years before those marginal savings will outweigh costs. When spending is being slashed everywhere the Assembly still wants to throw money away on this imagined cause. Dr Glossop has also claimed in her own bit of spin that the planned cull is different to any of the (futile, failed) culls which have gone before and that furthermore there is good science (claimed but never spelt out) to justify her rash decision to carry out an unscientific slaughter.Remember, she will have no way of determining whether the cull has worked, if it goes ahead, for she has refused to put any controls in place so that culling can be compared accurately with no culling. Bearing all that in mind it's not surprising that her boss, Elin Jones, has today come out with this extraordinary bit of make believe in a Press statement, quote: ":"...no-one disputed that TB is a serious problem that needs to be dealt with through a comprehensive programme that addresses all sources of infection..."
What a nerve! Of course it is disputed. Why has the Badger Trust taken the Assembly to court? Why are so many people in Wales and elsewhere up in arms? Killing yet more badgers will not solve a problem which has its roots in cattle-to-cattle transmission. Get real, minister.

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